2022-12-16 • Updated
The Reserve Bank of Australia will hold a meeting on August 3. Analysts believe the bank may increase its quantitative easing program, while other banks are lowering their bond buys or discussing this decision.
Australia is poorly coping with the new Covid-19 wave. Sydney's current lockdown is expected to end on August 28 and there are some rumors that it might be extended. Five weeks of lockdown haven’t helped – infections continue to spread.
Westpac, an Australian bank, claimed that the RBA may lift the purchase pace from 5 billion Australian dollars to 6 billion. If the bank increases asset purchases, it may surprise the markets and send the AUD down.
The AUD has already weakened. It has dropped against all major peers in July! Just look at the chart.
Source: https://www.poundsterlinglive.com/
AUD/USD is forecasted at 0.73 at the end of 2021 by Wells Fargo, 0.74 by the end of March 2022, 0.75 by the end of June 2022, and 0.76 by the end of September.
AUD/USD is moving inside the descending channel. However, it has been stuck in a range between 0.7340 and 0.7400 since July 21. It’s touching the upper trend line now, therefore the pair is likely to reverse down. If it drops below the 0.7340 support level, it may fall to the low of July 20 at 0.7300. Resistance levels are high of July 29 at 0.7400 and the next round number of 0.7450.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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