2022-11-08 • Updated
XBRUSD and XTIUSD might experience massive volatility due to the Chinese GDP release on Tuesday, October 18. China is the second-largest economy in the world. Currently, the Chinese economy is facing a recession, affecting the oil market. Earlier today, China reported a 60% year-to-year air traffic decline, another sign of a weakening economy. Therefore, we suggest selling oil if the actual GDP numbers underperform the forecast. If it happens, XBRUSD might decline to 77.00 per barrel.
Japan's Central Bank Governor is still super positive about a further soft monetary policy and economic stimulation. However, he also mentioned the Central Bank is ready to intervene in JPY. According to the technical analysis, levels 149.40, 151.32, 153.40, and 154.95 are the major resistance levels for USDJPY, where the Japanese central bank will most likely intervene.
XAUUSD had an awful previous week. The price lost more than 3% and closed a totally bearish weekly candle. We expect the price to decline to the 1615 - 1622 support range this week. If the price breaks through this support, XAUUSD might keep falling toward 1563.00. However, if buyers defend the support range, we might see a massive local reversal for the yellow metal toward 1700.
The pair is trading under the global resistance range of 1.0060 - 1.0095. If the price breaks above, buy USDCHF with the target at 1.0220. However, if the price loses 0.9930 support, it will decline to 0.9840.
The US stock market is struggling due to the US dollar's strength. However, the earnings season might change the situation. As experts' expectations are low, companies might easily overperform them and push US500, US30, and US100 higher. We suggest you trade US100 this week. If the price breaks above 11180, you might buy it with the target at 11600 and 12000. However, if companies' reports disappoint investors and the US100 breaks below the recent low, it might keep declining toward 9700.
During the Asian session on Wednesday, the USD/CAD pair rebounded after two days of losses, reaching around 1.3590. This uptick is fueled by a stronger US dollar and lower crude oil prices, which put pressure on the Canadian dollar. The decline in Western Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil prices to approximately $80.70 is attributed to...
Gold prices rose on Monday as the US Dollar weakened amidst speculation about potential Federal Reserve rate cuts starting in June. This weakened Dollar was partly due to improved risk sentiment pushing US Treasury yields lower. Despite facing challenges from declining yields, gold prices recovered to nearly $2,170 per troy ounce, driven by the Dollar's weakness. Federal Reserve Chair...
Canadian retail sales showed a slight rebound in February, rising by 0.1% after a 0.3% drop in January. However, this failed to fully offset the steeper decline earlier in the year, suggesting a weakening momentum in consumer spending. The increase in February was driven by gains in sectors such as sporting goods, hobby retailers, and building materials. Despite the...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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