2022-12-15 • Updated
“I want you to know how sad I am to be giving up the best job in the world,” – Boris Johnson said in front of the paparazzi and his colleagues before leaving the UK Prime Minister chair. He held the post for three years after Theresa May left in 2019 due to Brexit contradictions. Changes of such scale aren’t often seen in Europe, so it’s wise to break the situation down.
It all started with a no-confidence vote at the beginning of June. The UK Conservative party (Tory) criticized Johnson’s job for “perceived incompetency as a leader,” beginning the most significant turmoil in the newest history of Britain. Also, Johnson had a party during Covid-19 pandemic, which was totally unacceptable for a Prime Minister.
If Tory had been successful, Boris would have left much earlier. Here’s how the process works:
Source: BBC
However, Mr. Johnson received the support of 211 out of 359 members of the House of Commons (lower chamber of the UK parliament). The result means 59% of his members (MPs) supported Mr. Johnson.
The story doesn’t end here, though. Another round of problems for Boris started as he hired Chris Pincher as a deputy coordinator of the parliamentary faction. Earlier, Pinches was accused of sexual harassment, and Johnson knew it.
After the Chris designation, a 24-hour period of political turbulence began. Over 40 government resignations happened before Johnson decided to give up and leave the chair of Premier Minister. The general public supported the decision: Twitter is filled with cheers and glees ahead of the next PM election in autumn.
Boris Johnson was the UK Prime Minister and head of the conservative party for three years. The Tories, in turn, are the leading party in the UK, with the Liberal Democrats as the main rival. Usually, elections in the UK need to happen no more than five years apart. Unless an earlier one is called, the next election isn’t due until January 2025.
Boris Johnson could call an early election if he wanted (the law permits this), but now Mr. Johnson has resigned. After the conservative party chooses a new leader, he (or she) can call an early election if he (or she) wishes.
Pound Sterling is rallying at the time of writing, although it is hard to ascertain just how much of the move is linked to the domestic political news or the broadly supportive global market.
The pair made a double divergence on the RSI. Also, we are close to the support trendline. Our outlook on the British pound is bullish. The currency may rise to the 1.2324 resistance. Also, it may soar higher if the next PM chair candidate is met with glee from the market participants.
GBPUSD daily chart
Resistance: 1.2324, 1.2700, 1.3000
Support: 1.1900, 1.1740
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Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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