2022-12-15 • Updated
Last week was shocking!
The US dollar gained more than 2% against other currencies ahead of the 75-basis points rate hike by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday but dropped after the announcement. As a result, EURUSD bounced off the 1.0350 support and reached 1.0550 by Friday. The US stock market lost its global support. US500 plunged below 3800, while US100 broke through the 11 700 support level. The oil market has cooled down. XBRUSD plunged to 110.70 support, the 50-day moving average.
Trade ideas
Forex
The Canada Statistics will publish the Core Retail Sales m/m numbers on Tuesday. Moreover, on Wednesday, investors will get the data about the inflation rate in Canada. USDCAD is trading right under the strongest resistance level of 1.3000. Higher than expected results might strengthen the Canadian dollar versus the USD and send the pair down to 1.2730 support.
Also, on Wednesday, the Office of National Statistics will publish the Great Britain inflation rate. GBPUSD bounced from the historic support of 1.2000. A higher-than-expected inflation rate might push the pair towards 1.3000 resistance.
On Thursday, investors will get the German Flash Manufacturing PMI data. EURUSD has also found a support level of 1.0350. The pair is heading towards the 1.0770 resistance level, and higher-than-expected results might help the price to reach it.
Stocks
The US stock indices had a rough close of the previous week due to the key rate increase in the United States. Both indices have lost their critical support. US100 and US500 might keep going down to the next support level of 3500 and 10 800, respectively.
Chinese Hang Seng has been trading in range during the past week. However, markets are concerned about the possible military conflict between China and Taiwan. If it happens, the HK50 might drop to 19 000.
Oil, gas & metals
XBRUSD has declined to $110.50 support by the end of the previous week. Traders might consider buying XBRUSD while the price is staying above this level. On the other hand, if the price declines below, it might plunge to $106.50 and $102.00.
XAUUSD plunged under the 200-day moving average last Friday. If buyers couldn’t return the price above this resistance, it will fall to $1800. Otherwise, we might see a pump above $1900.
During the Asian session on Wednesday, the USD/CAD pair rebounded after two days of losses, reaching around 1.3590. This uptick is fueled by a stronger US dollar and lower crude oil prices, which put pressure on the Canadian dollar. The decline in Western Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil prices to approximately $80.70 is attributed to...
Gold prices rose on Monday as the US Dollar weakened amidst speculation about potential Federal Reserve rate cuts starting in June. This weakened Dollar was partly due to improved risk sentiment pushing US Treasury yields lower. Despite facing challenges from declining yields, gold prices recovered to nearly $2,170 per troy ounce, driven by the Dollar's weakness. Federal Reserve Chair...
Canadian retail sales showed a slight rebound in February, rising by 0.1% after a 0.3% drop in January. However, this failed to fully offset the steeper decline earlier in the year, suggesting a weakening momentum in consumer spending. The increase in February was driven by gains in sectors such as sporting goods, hobby retailers, and building materials. Despite the...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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