US500: A further correction towards 5192 before resuming purchases.
Bearish Scenario: Sales below 5220... Bullish Scenario: Buys above 5225 (if price fails to break below decisively) ...
WTI: the moment of truth
2020-05-15 • Updated
Fundamental
The American crude inventories are shrinking faster than expected. That reflects the global situation around oil: the glut is shrinking, the demand is coming back. That’s good news overall, and the oil price is appreciating that. However, there is certain fundamental equilibrium at the moment: from purely the oil industry standpoint, things are improving with the demand catching up with the supply; from the geopolitical perspective, the US-China relations are a bit tensed and may be preventing the price from rising.
Technical
Now, from a technical perspective, there is an obvious consolidation at the resistance level of $26.50. Very likely, as soon as the fundamental equilibrium is broken, that resistance will also be left: either upwards, or downward, depending on where the news will tilt the table. The main question is, how the absence of news and fundamental silence should be interpreted? In the mid-term, if nothing comes from the US-china front, and neither from the oil sector, it should push the price because the glut is diminishing “naturally” anyway, while any impediment for the market correction would need to come from the political side in a form of a conscious state effort. Hence, the absence of the latter will automatically give way for the price to rise.
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WTT: Currency Pairs To Trade In April
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
EURUSD: Seeking liquidity in weekly selling zones. Key intraday levels.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
