2020-10-08 • Updated
The aussie has been climbing up for the second day amid the ongoing risk-on sentiment. Tomorrow the Reserve Bank of Australia will make a financial stability review. It’s released only twice a year, that’s why it will grab a lot of attention. More optimistic outlook will push the Australian dollar upwards, while more negative – downwards. The RBA has already shown its interest in lowering interest rates, which in turn will lead to the depreciation of the AUD. That’s why it’s significant to pay close attention to this release.
Besides, Chinese PMI will be out a little bit later and will impact not only the Chinese yuan, but also the aussie due to the close trade relationship between Australia and China. Better-than-expected reading will push AUD/USD higher, while worse-than-expected numbers will drive the pair lower.
AUD/USD has just broken through the 38.2% Fibonacci level of 0.7160 and pulled back to it. It should be just a natural short selling after the breakout. Therefore, it’s likely to bounce off this level and after that surge to the next resistance at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.7210. On the flip side, the move below this level will drive the price to the intraday low of 0.7130.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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