Goldman Sachs expects a strong jobs report for the US labor market in September, with an estimated 200,000 increase in non-farm payrolls…
Tag - eur
The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.
Here we go again, my friends. It’s time to look critically into the future of what trading opportunities September might have in store for us. As always, it is essential to note that the views expressed here are mine and should not be considered financial advice without proper examination.
Emerging market countries, including the BRICS bloc, are expressing frustration with the US dollar's dominance in the global financial system. While there have been discussions about creating alternative currencies to challenge the dollar's dominance, no concrete proposals have emerged. Instead, these countries are considering expanding trade using their own currencies to reduce reliance on the dollar.
To properly examine the likely outcome of the Labour data release and the NFP (Non-farm Payrolls), I will be correlating the USD with the value of gold. That said, gold is at a critical juncture as the US Dollar strengthens and Treasury yields rise
Recently, gold prices settled by -0.41% at 59309 as the dollar and bond yields rose. However, hopes for a pause in US rate hikes limited the decline after the July meeting of the Federal Reserve. The unexpected drop in new claims for unemployment benefits in the US also contributed to the market sentiment.
In May, against expectations of a slowdown, inflation stubbornly held at 8.7%, creating additional pressure on the Bank of England. This comes just a day before the anticipated 13th consecutive interest rate hike to curb price growth. The headline figure places British inflation at the top among major advanced economies. These numbers aren't exactly comfortable for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, who aimed to cut inflation by half this year before the 2024 election. Moreover, they could lead to increased mortgage costs for homeowners.
The possibility of a US recession has ignited intense debates, especially as the labor market and consumer spending continue to demonstrate resilience despite aggressive interest rate hikes. However, hold on to your hats because Deutsche Bank is bringing a bold statement. They see a 100% probability of a US recession unfolding.
On Wednesday, the US dollar weakened in anticipation of the US CPI data, which could influence market exposure. A Bloomberg survey predicts a year-on-year read of 5.0% to the end of April. Market sentiment is affected by the US debt ceiling and issues with regional banks. While the major APAC equity indices are...
The influence of the dollar as the world reserve currency is gradually falling. Is it possible that the euro will replace it? We are not so sure about that.
It's no longer news that Eurozone's headline inflation rate rose in April, exceeding the European Central Bank's target. Eurostat's preliminary data revealed that the headline inflation rate reached 7% last month, a 0.1% rise from 6.9% in March. In contrast, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, unexpectedly slowed to 5.6% in April. The latest figures come right after the ECB's policy decision on Thursday, 4th of May, with market players...
In today's article, we will be performing an interesting analytical experiment - Correlation! To start, I have chosen a few indices that we will be observing. It's just like we're analyzing...